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Thu, 18 Mar 2010 - Regional Earth System Prediction: Sustainability tool for water, agriculture, health, and you name it

Topic: Regional Earth System Prediction: Sustainability tool for water, agriculture, health, and you name it
Speaker: Dr Raghu Murtugudde, Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Science, Earth Systems Science Interdisciplinary Center, University of Maryland
Date: Thu, 18 Mar 2010
Time: 10 30 AM - 11 30 AM
Venue: EOS Seminar Room (N2-01b-28)
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Dr. Murtugudde is a professor at the Earth Systems Science Interdisciplinary Center within the Department of Atmospheric and Oceanic Science, University of Maryland. He has been working on climate variability and change over the past 15 years and has published over 90 papers on topics ranging from climate change to earth system modeling and prediction of pathogens such as Vibrio cholerae.

While the IPCC will continue to lead Earth System projections for global issues such as greenhouse gas levels and global temperature increase, high-resolution regional Earth System predictions will be crucial for producing effective decisionmaking tools for day-to-day, sustainable Earth System management and adaptive management of resources. Regional Earth System predictions and projections at the order of a few meters resolution from days to decades must be validated and provide uncertainties and skill scores to be usable. While the task is daunting, it would be criminally negligent of the global human not to embark on this task immediately. The observational needs for the integrated natural-human system for the regional Earth System are distinct from the global needs even though there are many overlaps. The process understanding of the Earth System at the micro scale can be translated into predictive understanding and skillful predictions for sustainable management by merging these observations with Earth System models to go from global scale predictions and projections to regional environmental manifestations and mechanistic depiction of human interactions with the Earth System and exploitation of its resources. Regional Earth System monitoring and predictions thus will continuously take the pulse of the planet to prescribe appropriate actions for participatory decision-making for sustainable and adaptive management of the Earth System and to avoid catastrophic domains of potential outcomes.

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