Susanna JENKINS
Principal Investigator
Assistant Professor, Asian School of the Environment
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Research Group:
- Volcano, Hazards, Risk and Society
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My research interests lie in volcanic hazard, vulnerability and risk assessment for the purpose of disaster risk reduction. I achieve this through the use of numerical models, field studies and the statistical interrogation of large datasets.
Recent research has focussed on investigating techniques and frameworks for probabilistic hazard and risk assessment. This includes the development of large-scale multi-source ash dispersal models that calculate the total ash hazard at a site, rather than from a volcano (used for the 2015 UN-ISDR Global Assessment Report), and the quantification of likely hazards and physical impacts arising from volcanic eruptions, through pre- and post-eruption field studies and numerical modelling.
Research areas include Indonesia, Philippines, Italy, Iceland, Cape Verde and the Lesser Antilles.
BSc (Hons) (Geology) University of Leeds 1999
MSc (Geophysical Hazards) University College London 2004
PhD (Physical Geography) Macquarie University 2009
Susanna Jenkins is a Principal Investigator with the Volcano Group at Earth Observatory Singapore. Her research focusses on volcanic hazard and risk assessment. She studied Geology and Geophysical Hazards in the UK (University of Leeds and University College London, respectively) and received her PhD from Macquarie University in Australia. Susanna held a post-doctoral position in Cambridge and an AXA research fellowship post at the University of Bristol prior to joining NTU.
Publications:
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(2019). Intra-eruption forecasting. Bulletin of Volcanology. 18(34),
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(2019). Forecasting explosion repose intervals with a non-parametric Bayesian survival model: Application to Sakura-jima volcano, Japan. Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research. 381, 44-56.
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(2019). Timber-framed building damage from tephra fall and lahar: 2015 Calbuco eruption, Chile. Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research. 347, 142-159.
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(2018). Evaluating relative tephra fall hazard and risk in the Asia-Pacific region. Geosphere.
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(2018). Statistical analysis of dispersal and deposition patterns of volcanic emissions from Mt. Sakurajima, Japan. Atmospheric Environment. 179, 305-320.
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(2018). Meteorological Controls on Local and Regional Volcanic Ash Dispersal. Scientific Reports. 8,
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(2018). Very rapid cooling of the energetic pyroclastic density currents associated with the 5 November 2010 Merapi eruption (Indonesia). Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research. 358, 1-12.
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(2017). Human survival in volcanic eruptions: Thermal injuries in pyroclastic surges, their causes, prognosis and emergency management. Burns. 43(5), 1051-1069.
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(2017). Damage from lava flows: insights from the 2014–2015 eruption of Fogo, Cape Verde. Journal of Applied Volcanology. 6(6),
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(2017). Estimating Building Vulnerability to Volcanic Ash Fall for Insurance Purposes. Journal of Applied Volcanology. 6(2),
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(2017). Volcanic fatalities database: analysis of volcanic threat with distance and victim classification. Journal of Applied Volcanology. 6(1), 15.
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(2016). Challenges of volcanic crises on small islands states. Advances in Volcanology. 1-18.
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(2016). The devastating impact of the 2010 eruption of Merapi volcano, Indonesia. (Duarte, J. C., & Schellart W. P., Ed.).Plate Boundaries and Natural Hazards. 259-270.
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(2016). Agricultural impact assessment and management after three widespread tephra falls in Patagonia, South America. Natural Hazards. 1-63.
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(2015). Volcanic ash fall impacts. (Loughlin, S. C., Sparks R S. J., Brown S. K., Jenkins S. F., & Vye-Brown C., Ed.).Global Volcanic Hazards and Risk. 281-288.
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(2015). Volcanic ash fall impacts. (Loughlin, S. C., Sparks R S. J., Brown S. K., Jenkins S. F., & Vye-Brown C., Ed.).Global Volcanic Hazards and Risk. 281-288.
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(2015). Rapid emergency assessment of ash and gas hazard for future eruptions at Santorini Volcano, Greece. Journal of Applied Volcanology. 4(16),
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(2015). Developing building damage scales for lahars: Application to Merapi volcano, Indonesia. Bulletin of Volcanology. 77(9), 1-17.
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(2015). Global volcanic hazard and risk.
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(2015). Impacts from volcanic ash fall. (Papale, P., & Shroder J. F., Ed.).Volcanic Hazards, Risks, and Disasters. 47-86.
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(2015). Extreme Volcanic Risks 2: Mexico City. (Papale, P., & Shroder J. F., Ed.).Volcanic Hazards, Risks and Disasters. 315-354.
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(2015). Volcanic ash fall hazard and risk. (Loughlin, S. C., Sparks R S. J., Brown S. K., Jenkins S. F., & Vye-Brown C., Ed.).Global Volcanic Hazards and Risk. 173-221.
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(2015). Volcanic ash fall hazard and risk. (Loughlin, S. C., Sparks R S. J., Brown S. K., Jenkins S. F., & Vye-Brown C., Ed.).Global Volcanic Hazards and Risk. 173-221.
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(2015). Country and regional profiles of volcanic hazard and risk. (Loughlin, S. C., Sparks R S. J., Brown S. K., Jenkins S. F., & Vye-Brown C., Ed.).Global Volcanic Hazards and Risk.
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(2015). Country and regional profiles of volcanic hazard and risk. (Loughlin, S. C., Sparks R S. J., Brown S. K., Jenkins S. F., & Vye-Brown C., Ed.).Global Volcanic Hazards and Risk.
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(2014). Volcanic risk assessment: Quantifying physical vulnerability in the built environment. Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research. 276, 105-120.
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(2013). The Merapi 2010 eruption: An interdisciplinary impact assessment methodology for studying pyroclastic density current dynamics. Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research. 261, 316-329.
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(2013). Paroxysmal dome explosion during the Merapi 2010 eruption: Processes and facies relationships of associated high-energy pyroclastic density currents. Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research. 261, 260-294.
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(2012). Regional ash fall hazard I: A probabilistic assessment methodology. Bulletin of Volcanology. 74(7), 1699-1712.
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(2012). Regional ash fall hazard II: Modelling results and implications. Bulletin of Volcanology. 74(7), 1713-1727.
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(2012). Handbook for volcanic risk management: Prevention, Crisis management, Resilience. (Bignami, C., Bosi V., Costantini L., Cristiani C., Lavigne F., & Thierry P., Ed.).Handbook for volcanic risk management: Prevention, Crisis management, Resilience.
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(2011). Volcanic risk: Physical processes and social vulnerabilities. (Wisner, B., Gaillard J-C., & Kelman I., Ed.).Handbook of Natural Hazards and Disaster Risk Reduction and Management.
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(2011). Tools for identifying hazards. (Wisner, B., Gaillard J-C., & Kelman I., Ed.).Handbook of Natural Hazards and Disaster Risk Reduction and Management.
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(2010). A Global Earthquake Building Damage and Casualty Database. (Spence, R. J. S., So E., & Scawthorn C., Ed.).Human Casualties in Earthquakes. 65-79.
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(2008). Multistage volcanic events: Tephra hazard simulations for the Okataina Volcanic Center, New Zealand. Journal of Geophysical Research: Earth Surface. 113(F04012),
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(2007). Volcanoes: A Neglected Hazard?. Disasters. 78, 40-43.
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(2007). Multi-stage volcanic events: A statistical investigation. Journal of Volcanology and Geothermal Research. 161(4), 275-288.
Publications:
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(2018). The 18th century eruption of Makaturing volcano, Philippines: A catalyst for slavery, raiding and regional conflict. New Dimensions for Natural Hazards in Asia: An AOGS-EGU Joint Conference.