Volcanic Hazards and Risk

The Volcanic Hazards and Risk group focuses on quantifying the volcanic hazard, physical vulnerability and risk around active volcanoes. They do this by using numerical models, carrying out pre-, syn- and post-eruption field studies and through the statistical interrogation of large datasets.

Overview

Singapore lies in one of the most volcanically active and densely populated regions in the world. Forecasting when an eruption will occur, and what the consequences will be, remains one of the major challenges of volcanology and this is where the work of our group focusses. Our main research interests include:

How to interrogate eruption catalogues to forecast eruption styles, magnitudes and frequencies;
Probabilistic quantification of future volcanic hazards;
Assessing the exposure of humans, buildings and assets in hazardous areas;
Quantifying the physical vulnerability of exposure to volcanic hazards through theoretical, empirical and experimental approaches;

Through this we hope to better understand the likely future impacts of volcanic eruptions, leading to safer and more sustainable societies.

Projects

Remotely Quantifying Eruption Impacts and Recovery

Volcanic impact assessment currently relies on a small dataset sourced from detailed post-event fiel...

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EOS Participation in “Hazards, Tipping Points, Adaptation and Collapse in the Indo-Pacific World” A Project Integrating History and Science

The project, funded by the Australian Research Council (ARC), aims to provide a new understanding of...

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Selected Publications

Year 2022

Evaluating and ranking Southeast Asia's exposure to explosive volcanic hazards

Susanna F. Jenkins, Andrea Verolino, Eleanor Tennant, Elinor S. Meredith, Geoffrey A. Lerner, George T. Williams, et al.

Year 2022

The hazards of unconfined pyroclastic density currents: A new synthesis and classification according to their deposits, dynamics, and thermal and impact characteristics

Geoffrey A. Lerner, Jean-Christophe Komorowski, Peter J. Baxter, Susanna F. Jenkins, & Sylvain J. Charbonnier

Year 2021

How rainfall influences tephra fall loading — an experimental approach

George T. Williams, Daniel W.J. Lee, Shi Jun Wee, & Susanna F. Jenkins

View All Publications

The Team

Susanna JENKINS

Principal Investigator

Ailsa Katharine NAISMITH

Research Fellow

Eleanor TENNANT

PhD Student

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